John Davis is a political analyst, writer and consultant who has followed North Carolina politics for 25 years. He is one of the state’s leading authorities on evaluating the strengths of candidates and predicting the outcome of political races.
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Read Latest John Davis Political Report – January 13, 2012: Romney: Viewed as Most Likely to Beat Obama; Least Likely to Satisfy Conservatives on Managing Federal Budget … but Most Acceptable. Will Libertarian Uprising Dash GOP Presidential Hopes in NC?
John Davis Political Report – January 4, 2012: Romney Edges Santorum in Iowa Caucuses by 8 Votes; Anybody-but-Romney Wins 75%; Perry Suspends Campaign; Gingrich Vows Revenge at Saturday NH Debate after $5 million Smack Down
John Davis Political Report – December 21, 2011: Biggest Story of 2011: Tea Party Snatching Defeat from the Jaws of Victory; Implications for 2012 Results in a 40% GOP Nation
John Davis Political Report – December 7, 2011: Like WWII, the US Must Fight and Win Two Wars; The U.S./European Sovereign Debt War and the U.S./Asian Global Competitiveness War. How to Win the Jobs War with 1,700 Rupee
John Davis Political Report – November 22, 2011: Dear Lord, We Thank Thee for the Blessing of the Super Committee; The Best Way to Get Rid of a Bad Law is to Enforce It
John Davis Political Report – November 3, 2011: Gingrich will Gain as Cain Wanes; Updated Forecasts of Likely Winners: GOP U.S. Presidential Ticket
John Davis Political Report – November 2, 2011: Romney-Gingrich v/s Obama-Bowles?
John Davis Political Report – October 12, 2011: “Extremism in the Defense of Liberty is No Vice!” Extremism in the Defense of Uncompromising Economic Conservatism during the Worst Recession since the Great Depression is No Virtue … and is Politically Inept!
John Davis Political Report – September 28, 2011: “Compromise” or “Stick to Beliefs” Study Explains NJ Gov. Chris Christie’s Appeal to the GOP and Why He Can Defeat President Barack Obama
John Davis Political Report – September 22, 2011: No Shortcuts to Peace, Prosperity … or Dreams; Updated Forecasts of Likely Winners: President, GOP Nominee, U.S. Congress
Recent editions of the John Davis Political Report – August 24: Perdue‘s Probability of Winning a 2nd Term as Governor of North Carolina in 2012: 45%
August 18: Obama’s Probability of Carrying North Carolina in 2012: 44%
August 12: Obama’s Probability of Winning in 2012: 48%; Congressional Republicans and Tea Party Hurting GOP
August 4: Report features interview with Erskine Bowles: The Beatings will Continue until Morale Improves; Morale Improves with a Diet of Peas and Satan Sandwiches
July 28: John Davis Political Report: Governor Perdue: from Dumb Luck to Lame Duck; Slim Odds of Winning a Second term as Governor of North Carolina
July 21: John Davis Political Report: NC Republican Remapping Double-Whammy: Liberal Democrats Doomed by Double-Bunking
Listen to the John Davis Political Report while you work!
The John Davis Political Report is available in an AUDIO format … for those of you who like to do other things while listening to the daily report! Listen to the latest John Davis Political Report: The Beatings will Continue until Morale Improves; Morale Improves with a Diet of Peas and Satan Sandwiches
July 12: READ NEW SENATE ANALYSIS: … July 12 analysis of just-released new North Carolina Senate Districts: Phil Berger/Don Vaughan Double-bunked; Pete Brunstetter/Linda Garrou Double-bunked; Total Districts Won by McCain over Obama go from 30 to 34 Under New Maps
July 6: Read REVISED/UPDATE July 6 analysis of just-released new North Carolina Congressional Districts: Say Goodbye to Democrats Miller, Shuler and Kissell; McIntyre Fighting Chance
June 22: John Davis Political Report: How Far Right can NC Republicans Push their Conservative Legislative Agenda without Creating a Political Blowback
John Davis is a political analyst, writer and consultant who has followed North Carolina politics for 25 years. He is one of the state’s leading authorities on evaluating the strengths of candidates and predicting the outcome of political races. During the six election cycles since the beginning of this decade, Davis projected the winner in 1100 of 1144 North Carolina campaigns, for an accuracy rate of 96%.
“John Davis has one of the best political minds in North Carolina. He is practically a walking encyclopedia on legislative politics. I have long relied on his wisdom and insights in my own reporting. If you want to keep up with legislature, particularly now that the Republicans are in control, John Davis is the go-to-guy.” Rob Christensen, chief political reporter, The News and Observer and author of The Paradox of Tar Heel Politics
“Rave Reviews!” “Informative, insightful, entertaining”
“To meet Leadership North Carolina’s mission to inform, engage, and lead, top-notch speakers are essential. John’s presentation to the forty-four members of Leadership North Carolina Class XIX during our Government session was outstanding. Providing a baseline through the lens of the 2008 and 2010 elections helped our class understand the outlook for 2012. John’s always a hit and receives rave reviews!” Brian Etheridge, President, Leadership North Carolina
“About 50% of the 250 people at our event came up to me afterwards raving about John Davis’ speech. He was both informative and witty. We could not have found a better keynote speaker!” Hal Routh, VP Business Development, Balfour Beatty Construction, October 2011
John Davis has made over 1,000 speeches in North Carolina and throughout the United States. He is known for his thoughtful analysis, his lively and humorous presentations, his candor and his accurate forecasts.
Sign up today for Davis’ latest speech titled, Eight Plus Ten Equals Twelve – How the Political Lessons of 2008 Plus those of 2010 Suggest the Likely Winners in 2012. John forecasts likely 2012 winners for U.S. President and the U.S. Congress; North Carolina Governor and the North Carolina General Assembly.
“John- Thanks again for speaking as the keynote at the [North Carolina Agribusiness Council's 43rd Annual Meeting] dinner Monday night. I’ve heard nothing but RAVE reviews.” T. Ray Best, Duke Energy; President, NC Agribusiness Council, August, 2011
“John’s presentation to the National League of Cities Board of Directors in which he reviewed the politics and results of the 2008 presidential campaign and the mid-term elections and foreshadowed factors to watch in the 2012 races was informative, insightful, and entertaining!” Carolyn Coleman, Dir., Federal Relations, National League of Cities, Washington, D.C., July, 2011
“For over 15 years, members of the North Carolina Dental Political Action Committee have depended on Mr. Davis’ presentations at our annual sessions to keep abreast of happenings. No one has ever left the room when Mr. Davis speaks. At our past annual session several out of state guests stated ‘Where do we get a John Davis for our state?” Dr. Al Roseman, D.D.S, Wilmington, NC
Trends are a big deal. They are especially useful in establishing and tracking which party has a political advantage … an advantage that morphs into momentum that drives turnout that will ultimately determine the winners close races.
The John Davis Political Report’s Late Breaking Trends daily update accurately tracked and projected the Republican momentum advantage throughout the 2010 General Election. From August 16 – November 2, charts were updated daily showing the 12 most important economic and public opinion indicators driving election outcomes. Stay ahead of the biased political spin by following Late Breaking Trends.
Look for real-time updates as news breaks about the economy, underemployment, voter satisfaction with the direction of the state and nation, and the partisan preferences of the all-important independent voters. Click here to subscribe!
Investors Political Daily is a new feature of the John Davis Political Report introduced in 2010 that highlights the likely winners in all NC Senate and House races.
No source in North Carolina called the legislative races earlier or more accurately this year than the Investors Political Daily. The winner was projected correctly in 47 of 47 NC Senate races (3 races were toss ups), and in 111 of 115 NC House races (five races were toss ups).
The key is objectivity. John Davis does not lobby, so he has no qualms about writing forthrightly about the political mistakes of legislative leaders. He is not a political campaign consultant nor does he work for political parties, so he has no conflict of interest in assessing the status of a political race.
All candidates for public office will assure you that they can win with your money. In reality, many candidates do not need a whole lot of money to win … such as those in a safe district who have a weak opponent. And, many candidates cannot win no matter how much money you give them. John Davis knows the difference, and will not hesitate to tell you straight up which candidates fall under what category.
Hire John Davis today as your political investment consultant.
While North Carolina Republicans lead the state during the 2011-2012 session of the North Carolina General Assembly, Democrats will be plotting and scheming how to retake the majority. John Davis is the best unbiased source observing and reporting to you privately on the political implications of every move made by both parties. Don’t rely on biased sources for your political intelligence!
“John Davis made the bold calls in 2010–he was right and he was early. His assessment was flawless. He was nailing 3 point shots from mid-court, one after another, hitting nothing but net!!” Bill Weatherspoon, NC Petroleum Society, Raleigh
Call John Davis today at 919-696-3859 to discuss a political investment consulting relationship.
© 2010 John Davis Consulting
info@johndavisconsulting.com
