-
Independent, Socially-Left-of-Center, Economically-Right-of-Center Millennials Likely Most Valuable Voters in 2016
Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 5: Independent, Socially-Left-of-Center, Economically-Right-of-Center Millennials Likely Most Valuable Voters in 2016 This is the fifth in a series of reports on the race for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination, interlocked with trends analyses, and…
-
Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 4: Baltimore’s Unintended Paradox: Black Voters are in Play for Conservative Alternatives in 2016; Democratic and Republican
Baltimore’s Unintended Paradox: Black Voters are in Play for Conservative Alternatives in 2016; Democratic and Republican This is the fourth in a series of reports on the race for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination, interlocked with trends analyses, and conclude with my forecast for the next president. May 12, 2015 …
-
Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 3: Why Would Black Voters Turn Out for Hillary Clinton?
Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 3: Why Would Black Voters Turn Out for Hillary Clinton? This is the third a series of reports on the race for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination, interlocked with trends analyses, and conclude with…
-
Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 2: Minority Voters Key to Winning in 2016
Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 2: Minority Voters Key to Winning in 2016 This is the second a series of reports on the race for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination, interlocked with trends analyses, and conclude with my forecast…
-
Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 1: Handicapping Republican Ted Cruz
Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 1: Handicapping Republican Ted Cruz This is the first in a series of reports on the candidates for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination of candidates, concluding with my forecast for the next president.…
-
NC Tea Party and Democrats Stymied by Republican Successes and Signs of Sustained Economic Recovery
The worst thing that could happen to North Carolina’s right-wing economic hardliners on the eve of a presidential election year is for the Republican Party to be brimming with accomplishment at a time when the economy is expanding at a record pace. You can’t start a revolution when the news is good.
-
NC Democrats Meet Saturday in Pittsboro; Need State Party Chair who can Raise Money
February 6, 2015 Vol. VIII, No. 2 9:13 am CORRECTION – NC Sheriffs: I stated incorrectly in the last report that Republicans had a majority of the Sheriffs in North Carolina. In fact, 52 of our Sheriffs are Democrats; 48 are Republicans. In 2014, the party affiliation of newly elected Sheriffs switched in 10…
-
Misinterpreting the Mandate: Consequences of the Most Common Mistake Political Majorities Make
January 13, 2015 Vol. VIII, No. 1 12:13 pm “Unfortunately, Democrats blew the opportunity the American people gave them.” U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer, Democrat-NY, National Press Club, 11, 25, 2014 Fix Yourself When the second highest ranking Democrat in the U.S. Senate says, “We blew it,” I sit up and take notice. Such was the…
-
The Seduction of Exceptionalism: Secret to Forecasting Thom Tillis’ Upset Victory over Kay Hagan in America’s Most Expensive U.S. Senate Race
November 24, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 29 2:13 pm I had a secret forecasting advantage on January 10, 2014, when I titled the John Davis Political Report, Vol. VII, No. 2, North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan. A secret advantage a year in the making.…