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John Davis Political Report Primary Forecasts Spot On; General Election Races Equally Predictable
May 7, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 12 9:13 am FORECAST: GOP-Friendly Midterm Election Year January 3: On January 3, 2014, the John Davis Political Report raised the possibility of “waking up the morning after General Election Day 2014 with a Republican Governor, a Republican majority state Senate and House, a Republican majority state Supreme Court,…
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Big Problem for Democrats in 2014: Republicans are Focused on Winning, Not Ideological Purity
Big Problem for Democrats in 2014: Republicans are Focused on Winning, Not Ideological Purity April 24, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 9 10:13 am North Carolina Democrats really need social and economic Republican hardliners to divide and weaken the GOP in 2014. That’s because they, the Democrats, lack the wherewithal to win against a united Republican…
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Welcome to North Carolina, the Nation’s Most Perfectly Balanced Political Battlefield
Welcome to North Carolina, the Nation’s Most Perfectly Balanced Political Battlefield February 26, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 6 2:13 pm Gallup Study based on 178,527 Interviews Here is a startling political finding: North Carolina is closer in partisan identity to Minnesota, Maine and Oregon than it is to Tennessee, South Carolina and Alabama. That…
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Lessons from Last Two Presidential Second-Term, Midterm Elections are Keys for GOP Success in 2014
Lessons from Last Two Presidential Second-Term, Midterm Elections are Keys for GOP Success in 2014 February 13, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 5 10:13 am If you win your base, but lose the middle, you lose the war This is the midterm election year of President Obama’s second term, which by all accounts should be…
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January Surprise: National and State GOP Leaders Shifting from Stonewalling to Winning Elections
January 31, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 4 9:13 am The January 16, 2014 John Davis Political Report, How the GOP 2013 Shutdown Fiasco became the Startup of Corrective Action for a 2014 Senate Takeover, proffered the observation that the 2013 shutdown fiasco was so cataclysmic for Republicans that it sparked the political will to push…
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How the GOP 2013 Shutdown Fiasco became the Startup of Corrective Action for a 2014 Senate Takeover
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North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan
North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan January 10, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 2 2:13 pm NOTE: This report on North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race assumes that incumbent Democratic Senator Kay Hagan will face Thom Tillis, Republican Speaker of the North Carolina House. I am…
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North Carolina’s 2014 Political Preview
North Carolina’s 2014 Political Preview Happy New Year! January 3, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 1 11:13 am Hagan Race to Decide U.S Senate Majority and President Obama’s Legacy Imagine waking up the morning after General Election Day 2014 with a Republican Governor, a Republican majority state Senate and House, a Republican majority state Supreme…
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The Year of Our Nation’s Partisan Madness Demands a Year of Optimism and Solutions to Problems
The Year of Our Nation’s Partisan Madness Demands a Year of Optimism and Solutions to Problems December 18, 2013 Vol. VI, No. 24 7:13 am We are a negative-weary electorate. We yearn for economic recovery, full employment, affordable healthcare and a correction of unsustainable government programs that undermine our financial integrity. Yet we know that…
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Prepare for Attacks by Super PACs in 2014; Traditional NC Campaign Funding Marginalized
Prepare for Attacks by Super PACs in 2014; Traditional NC Campaign Funding Marginalized November 27, 2013 Vol. VI, No. 23 7:13 am In the 2013 governor’s race in Virginia, California billionaire Tom Steyer spent $8 million independently on attack ads against Republican nominee Ken Cuccinelli through his NextGen Climate Action Committee. Steyer didn’t like Cuccinelli’s…