-
Late Breaking Trends – North Carolina’s Daily Partisan Political Advantage Forecast
Click the Play Button Below for an Audio Summary [audio:https://www.johndavisconsulting.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/JDavisRpt81610.mp3|titles=JDavisRpt81610] Key Trends and their Impact on North Carolina’s 2010 General Election Races Advantage Democrats Advantage Republicans High unemployment this fall, coupled with high underemployment and high anxiety among the employed, is a potentially lethal concoction of political variables for North Carolina Democrats. Post: August 16,…
-
Late Breaking Trends – North Carolina’s Daily Partisan Political Advantage Forecast
Key Trends and their Impact on North Carolina’s 2010 General Election Races Advantage Democrats Advantage Republicans “These are Obama voters. These are not Democratic voters.” Democratic pollster Cornell Belcher, Washington Post: August 13, 2010 President Obama’s “Job Approval” ratings at the beginning of his administration hovered at 70% in most national polls, with less than…
-
The Hunt for the Republican Jim Hunt. Helms went to DC. Hunt stayed home; the NC GOP’s worst nightmare.
“Hunt criticized the Democratic controlled General Assembly for raising taxes in 1991 during the recession, saying the budgetary shortfall was ‘sheer government mismanagement.’”[i] Rob Christensen, News & Observer, The Paradox of Tar Heel Politics Twenty-five years ago, in Washington DC, U.S. Senator Jesse Helms, a North Carolina Republican, was beginning his third term in the…
-
Is the NC Democratic Party the Toyota of State Politics? #1 – #4: Democrats have All of the Power and Get all of the Blame
Part I: Liabilities 1 – 4 NC Republicans do not have to raise the political bar closer to that of Democrats to seize power in 2010 if Democrats lower their political bar closer to that of Republicans. Toyota Motor Company has lost market share because of worldwide recalls of millions of its cars due to management mistakes…
-
It is the Republicans to Lose, and they are Capable of Losing It: We have met the enemy, and he is us.
“In the time of Joseph McCarthyism, celebrated in the Pogo strip by a character named Simple J. Malarkey, I attempted to explain each individual is wholly involved in the democratic process, work at it or no. The results of the process fall on the head of the public and he who is recalcitrant or procrastinates in…
-
The Battle for the Speaker’s Gavel in the North Carolina House: If GOP Momentum Wanes, How will they Match the Financial Might of the Democrats?
“There’s no real financial infrastructure under the [state] Republican Party, and I reckon building one will take a long time,” he said. And doing so will be “sort of like straightening out a train wreck.” — Carter Wrenn, NC Republican Consultant This is a very fragile time for North Carolina House Democrats and Republicans. They all…
-
A Wedding Gift for GOP State Chairman Tom Fetzer: A Transformative Political Lesson from a Reclusive Mississippi Banker
“On Thursdays he flew from Jackson to New York City in his private jet to take care of business interests like Amerada Hess Oil and the New York Jets. He always made it back in time to feed the cows.”1 Congratulations to Tom Fetzer, former three-term mayor of Raleigh and newly-elected Chairman of the North…
-
Never Waste a Crisis (Unless you are a Republican)
The 2009/2010 election cycle is heating up. Challengers throughout the state are beginning to move about, stewing over their potential for picking off an incumbent in next year’s congressional and legislative races. They sense that the national and state budget crises give them an opportunity to pounce on vulnerable prey. In the absence of sustained…