November 24, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 29 2:13 pm I had a secret forecasting advantage on January 10, 2014, when I titled the John Davis Political Report, Vol. VII, No. 2, North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan. A secret advantage a year in the making.
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November 4, 2014 Election Results a GOP Wave; Final Polls Tell North Carolina U.S. Senate Story November 5, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 28 7:13 am Bottom Line: Big night for Republicans in the state and nation, with the driving force in North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race being the fact that more voters were concerned
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Difficult Week for Democrats as Disaffected Women and Blacks Drive Favorability Down to 1984 Lows October 17, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 26 10:13 am Women and Blacks Down on Democratic Party: According to a new Washington Post/ABC News poll conducted October 9-12, 2014, the Democratic Party has the worst Favorable (39%) to Unfavorable (51%)
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Make No Mistake, Hagan Hampered by President; GOP Enthusiasm and Turnout Trends Favor Tillis October 8, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 25 5:13 pm “Make no mistake: these policies are on the ballot,” said President Obama last Thursday, October 2, during a speech at Northwestern University in defense of his administration, “Every single one
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UPDATE JANUARY 10, 2014 REPORT: North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan September 25, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 24 3:13 pm This is an update of my January 10, 2014 report titled, North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to
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Intimidation by U.S. Senate Democratic Leaders Weakened by Pundits Predicting GOP Majority September 10, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 23 7:13 am Nothing chills political fundraising more than the intimidating word from the majority party leadership that anyone who supports a certain candidate can forget the majority party’s support when they need help with
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NC GOP Winning Battle for New Voters; Favored this Fall over Democrats who are Losing Voters August 28, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 21 9:13 am NC Democrats: Net Gain in 2008 of 171,955 Voters; Net Loss in 2014 There has been a dramatic loss of political momentum among North Carolina Democrats since 2008,
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Wake County Democrats May Determine Next U.S. Senate Majority with Hagan Turnout Duties August 27, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 20 3:13 pm Last Friday, August 22, 2014, Wake County was projected to have 1 million residents. That’s good news for Democrats, as urban voters almost always favor them over the GOP. Urban voters tend
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If 2014 is a Referendum on the White House, then Sen. Hagan is in Right Much Trouble UPDATE July 2, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 16 8:13 am If you research the political adage, Midterm elections are a referendum on the White House, you will discover that Democrats agree UNLESS the president is a Democrat,
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Eric Cantor’s Loss and a Hundred Million Reasons Republicans Can’t Fight the Last War in 2014 June 11, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 15 10:13 am Yesterday, June 10, 2014, for the first time in American history, the sitting U.S. House Majority Leader lost a campaign for reelection. Why? Many conservative Republicans are claiming today
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