Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 2: Minority Voters Key to Winning in 2016 This is the second a series of reports on the race for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination, interlocked with trends analyses, and conclude with my forecast
[More…]
The worst thing that could happen to North Carolina’s right-wing economic hardliners on the eve of a presidential election year is for the Republican Party to be brimming with accomplishment at a time when the economy is expanding at a record pace. You can’t start a revolution when the news is good.
Thank You and Happy New Year! December 30, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 30 12:13 pm Thank you so much for reading my report this year! There is no greater reward for a political writer than to be read by a balance of influential readers from all persuasions. My goal has always been to
[More…]
November 24, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 29 2:13 pm I had a secret forecasting advantage on January 10, 2014, when I titled the John Davis Political Report, Vol. VII, No. 2, North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan. A secret advantage a year in the making.
[More…]
November 4, 2014 Election Results a GOP Wave; Final Polls Tell North Carolina U.S. Senate Story November 5, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 28 7:13 am Bottom Line: Big night for Republicans in the state and nation, with the driving force in North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race being the fact that more voters were concerned
[More…]
Democrats’ $32 Million Attack Backfires in North Carolina, Aiding Tillis’ Rise and Abetting Hagan’s Fall October 29, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 27 8:13 am Tillis Tops List as Most Attacked U.S. Senate Candidate: Recent national news stories have reported that North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race between Democratic U.S. Senator Kay Hagan and Republican
[More…]
No NC Congressional Seat Targeted by Democratic Congressional Campaign’s $44 million Fall TV Buy May 29, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 14 10:13 am Per AP Thurs, May 29, 2014: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has begun reserving “almost $44 million in advertising time” with television stations in 39 fall races. North Carolina Implications: No
[More…]
Prepare for Attacks by Super PACs in 2014; Traditional NC Campaign Funding Marginalized November 27, 2013 Vol. VI, No. 23 7:13 am In the 2013 governor’s race in Virginia, California billionaire Tom Steyer spent $8 million independently on attack ads against Republican nominee Ken Cuccinelli through his NextGen Climate Action Committee. Steyer didn’t like Cuccinelli’s
[More…]
Virginia Tea Leaves Reveal Tea Party Threat to North Carolina Republicans in 2014 Races November 14, 2013 Vol. VI, No. 22 11:13 am In 1999, I was invited to speak in Richmond, Virginia to the historic first joint caucus meeting of the newly elected Republican majorities in the state Senate and House of Delegates. It
[More…]