Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 3: Why Would Black Voters Turn Out for Hillary Clinton?

by johndavis, April 22, 2015

Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination  Part 3: Why Would Black Voters Turn Out for Hillary Clinton? This is the third a series of reports on the race for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination, interlocked with trends analyses, and conclude with
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Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 2: Minority Voters Key to Winning in 2016

by johndavis, April 21, 2015

Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination  Part 2: Minority Voters Key to Winning in 2016 This is the second a series of reports on the race for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination, interlocked with trends analyses, and conclude with my forecast
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NC Tea Party and Democrats Stymied by Republican Successes and Signs of Sustained Economic Recovery

by johndavis, March 17, 2015

The worst thing that could happen to North Carolina’s right-wing economic hardliners on the eve of a presidential election year is for the Republican Party to be brimming with accomplishment at a time when the economy is expanding at a record pace. You can’t start a revolution when the news is good.

Thank You and Happy New Year!

by johndavis, December 30, 2014

Thank You and Happy New Year!   December 30, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 30         12:13 pm Thank you so much for reading my report this year! There is no greater reward for a political writer than to be read by a balance of influential readers from all persuasions. My goal has always been to
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The Seduction of Exceptionalism: Secret to Forecasting Thom Tillis’ Upset Victory over Kay Hagan in America’s Most Expensive U.S. Senate Race

by johndavis, November 24, 2014

November 24, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 29         2:13 pm I had a secret forecasting advantage on January 10, 2014, when I titled the John Davis Political Report, Vol. VII, No. 2, North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan. A secret advantage a year in the making.
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November 4, 2014 Election Results a GOP Wave; Final Polls Tell North Carolina U.S. Senate Story

by johndavis, November 5, 2014

November 4, 2014 Election Results a GOP Wave; Final Polls Tell North Carolina U.S. Senate Story   November 5, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 28         7:13 am Bottom Line: Big night for Republicans in the state and nation, with the driving force in North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race being the fact that more voters were concerned
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Democrats’ $32 Million Attack Backfires in North Carolina, Aiding Tillis’ Rise and Abetting Hagan’s Fall

by johndavis, October 29, 2014

Democrats’ $32 Million Attack Backfires in North Carolina, Aiding Tillis’ Rise and Abetting Hagan’s Fall     October 29, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 27         8:13 am  Tillis Tops List as Most Attacked U.S. Senate Candidate: Recent national news stories have reported that North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race between Democratic U.S. Senator Kay Hagan and Republican
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Make No Mistake, Hagan Hampered by President; GOP Enthusiasm and Turnout Trends Favor Tillis

by johndavis, October 8, 2014

Make No Mistake, Hagan Hampered by President; GOP Enthusiasm and Turnout Trends Favor Tillis   October 8, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 25         5:13 pm   “Make no mistake: these policies are on the ballot,” said President Obama last Thursday, October 2, during a speech at Northwestern University in defense of his administration, “Every single one
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No NC Congressional Seat Targeted by Democratic Congressional Campaign’s $44 million Fall TV Buy

by johndavis, May 29, 2014

No NC Congressional Seat Targeted by Democratic Congressional Campaign’s $44 million Fall TV Buy   May 29, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 14          10:13 am  Per AP Thurs, May 29, 2014: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has begun reserving “almost $44 million in advertising time” with television stations in 39 fall races. North Carolina Implications: No
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Welcome to North Carolina, the Nation’s Most Perfectly Balanced Political Battlefield

by johndavis, February 26, 2014

Welcome to North Carolina, the Nation’s Most Perfectly Balanced Political Battlefield February 26, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 6          2:13 pm   Gallup Study based on 178,527 Interviews Here is a startling political finding: North Carolina is closer in partisan identity to Minnesota, Maine and Oregon than it is to Tennessee, South Carolina and Alabama. That
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