Thank You and Happy New Year!

by johndavis, December 30, 2014

Thank You and Happy New Year!   December 30, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 30         12:13 pm Thank you so much for reading my report this year! There is no greater reward for a political writer than to be read by a balance of influential readers from all persuasions. My goal has always been to
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The Seduction of Exceptionalism: Secret to Forecasting Thom Tillis’ Upset Victory over Kay Hagan in America’s Most Expensive U.S. Senate Race

by johndavis, November 24, 2014

November 24, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 29         2:13 pm I had a secret forecasting advantage on January 10, 2014, when I titled the John Davis Political Report, Vol. VII, No. 2, North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan. A secret advantage a year in the making.
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November 4, 2014 Election Results a GOP Wave; Final Polls Tell North Carolina U.S. Senate Story

by johndavis, November 5, 2014

November 4, 2014 Election Results a GOP Wave; Final Polls Tell North Carolina U.S. Senate Story   November 5, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 28         7:13 am Bottom Line: Big night for Republicans in the state and nation, with the driving force in North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race being the fact that more voters were concerned
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Democrats’ $32 Million Attack Backfires in North Carolina, Aiding Tillis’ Rise and Abetting Hagan’s Fall

by johndavis, October 29, 2014

Democrats’ $32 Million Attack Backfires in North Carolina, Aiding Tillis’ Rise and Abetting Hagan’s Fall     October 29, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 27         8:13 am  Tillis Tops List as Most Attacked U.S. Senate Candidate: Recent national news stories have reported that North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race between Democratic U.S. Senator Kay Hagan and Republican
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Difficult Week for Democrats as Disaffected Women and Blacks Drive Favorability Down to 1984 Lows

by johndavis, October 17, 2014

Difficult Week for Democrats as Disaffected Women and Blacks Drive Favorability Down to 1984 Lows   October 17, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 26         10:13 am  Women and Blacks Down on Democratic Party: According to a new Washington Post/ABC News poll conducted October 9-12, 2014, the Democratic Party has the worst Favorable (39%) to Unfavorable (51%)
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Make No Mistake, Hagan Hampered by President; GOP Enthusiasm and Turnout Trends Favor Tillis

by johndavis, October 8, 2014

Make No Mistake, Hagan Hampered by President; GOP Enthusiasm and Turnout Trends Favor Tillis   October 8, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 25         5:13 pm   “Make no mistake: these policies are on the ballot,” said President Obama last Thursday, October 2, during a speech at Northwestern University in defense of his administration, “Every single one
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UPDATE JANUARY 10, 2014 REPORT: North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan

by johndavis, September 26, 2014

UPDATE JANUARY 10, 2014 REPORT: North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to Upset Kay Hagan September 25, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 24         3:13 pm   This is an update of my January 10, 2014 report titled, North Carolina’s U.S. Senate Race: Numbers Say Republican Thom Tillis is Likely to
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Intimidation by U.S. Senate Democratic Leaders Weakened by Pundits Predicting GOP Majority

by johndavis, September 10, 2014

Intimidation by U.S. Senate Democratic Leaders Weakened by Pundits Predicting GOP Majority   September 10, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 23         7:13 am   Nothing chills political fundraising more than the intimidating word from the majority party leadership that anyone who supports a certain candidate can forget the majority party’s support when they need help with
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NC GOP Winning Battle for New Voters; Favored this Fall over Democrats who are Losing Voters

by johndavis, August 28, 2014

NC GOP Winning Battle for New Voters; Favored this Fall over Democrats who are Losing Voters   August 28, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 21         9:13 am NC Democrats: Net Gain in 2008 of 171,955 Voters; Net Loss in 2014   There has been a dramatic loss of political momentum among North Carolina Democrats since 2008,
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Wake County Democrats May Determine Next U.S. Senate Majority with Hagan Turnout Duties

by johndavis, August 27, 2014

Wake County Democrats May Determine Next U.S. Senate Majority with Hagan Turnout Duties   August 27, 2014        Vol. VII, No. 20         3:13 pm  Last Friday, August 22, 2014, Wake County was projected to have 1 million residents. That’s good news for Democrats, as urban voters almost always favor them over the GOP. Urban voters tend
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