Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 3: Why Would Black Voters Turn Out for Hillary Clinton?

by johndavis, April 22, 2015

Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination  Part 3: Why Would Black Voters Turn Out for Hillary Clinton? This is the third a series of reports on the race for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination, interlocked with trends analyses, and conclude with
[More…]

Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination Part 2: Minority Voters Key to Winning in 2016

by johndavis, April 21, 2015

Ladies and Gentlemen, the Next President of the United States … by Process of Elimination  Part 2: Minority Voters Key to Winning in 2016 This is the second a series of reports on the race for U.S. President. The series will unfold by process of elimination, interlocked with trends analyses, and conclude with my forecast
[More…]

Vive la Différence! Rule #6: Men Do Not Equal a Majority. How women defeated them in 31 of 40 NC statewide races since 2000; why women are the GOP’s best hope for political longevity.

by johndavis, February 14, 2013

Vive la Différence! Rule #6: Men Do Not Equal a Majority. How women defeated them in 31 of 40 NC statewide races since 2000; why women are the GOP’s best hope for political longevity.   “The next time a Republican man wants to say something about a gender-sensitive issue, like rape or contraception or reproductive
[More…]

Early Voting Stats Show 5.3% Shift to GOP in North Carolina; National Trend Favors Romney

by johndavis, November 5, 2012

Early Voting Stats Shows 5.3% Shift to GOP in North Carolina; National Trend Favors Romney According to POLITICO’s Lois Romano in her 11/2/12 story titled, Obama early vote edge tenuous, Obama no longer has the early voting advantage that he enjoyed in 2008.  As for North Carolina in 2012, Democrats are down 3.85% in early
[More…]

The Great Chapel Hill Obama Bumper Sticker Hunt

by johndavis, October 29, 2012

The Great Chapel Hill Obama Bumper Sticker Hunt; If he has lost Chapel Hill, he has lost the race.  “Four years ago it was cool to be for Obama.  Today, it’s cool to be independent.”   Student in Hodding Carter’s Public Policy 70 Seminar at UNC-Chapel Hill Monday, October 29, 2012       Vol. V, No. 37          
[More…]

Mitt Romney will be the Next U.S. President

by johndavis, October 26, 2012

Mitt Romney will be the Next U.S. President   Site: Grove Park Inn, Asheville; October 4, 2012. Event: North Carolina Forestry Association Annual Meeting. Scene: Audience member asks, “John, you said this morning that Romney would be the next President.  Have you changed your opinion recently? If so, when and why?” Answer: “Yes, I changed
[More…]

It’s All Over for Obama in North Carolina as Romney Surges Ahead. Republicans on track to dominate Executive, Legislative and Judicial Branches

by johndavis, October 23, 2012

It’s All Over for Obama in North Carolina as Romney Surges Ahead.  Republicans on track to dominate Executive, Legislative and Judicial Branches Question from CNN’s Wolf Blitzer on Monday, October 22, to Paul Begala, senior Democratic political consultant to pro-Obama super PAC Priorities USA Action: “Has he [Obama] given up on North Carolina?”  Paul Begala: “Yes.”
[More…]

Why Romney Must Distance Himself from George W. Bush, the President with a Job Approval as Low as Nixon’s after Watergate

by johndavis, July 2, 2012

Why Romney Must Distance Himself from George W. Bush, the President with a Job Approval as Low as Nixon’s after Watergate “Mr. Romney should face what didn’t work the past 12 years. Republicans took some wrong turns, and they know it. Centrists and independents know it, too.” Peggy Noonan, The Long Race Has Begun, Wall
[More…]

UPDATE: NC Political History in the Making: A Republican Governor, Republican Senate, Republican House of Representatives

by johndavis, May 21, 2012

UPDATE: NC Political History in the Making: A Republican Governor, Republican Senate, Republican House of Representatives Update: Gov. Perdue’s approval rating worst in America Update: National Journal sees NC as #1 state for GOP governor pickup Update: CNN on Obama’s North Carolina Math Problem Post: Monday, May 21, 2012       Vol. V, No. 17      2:13
[More…]

NC Political History in the Making: A Republican Governor, Republican Senate, Republican House of Representatives

by johndavis, May 14, 2012

NC Political History in the Making: A Republican Governor, Republican Senate, Republican House of Representatives Forecast: North Carolina will soon be taken off most “Swing States” lists and relabeled “Leaning Romney.” Obama will redirect NC resources to greener pastures. Post: Monday, May 14, 2012       Vol. V, No. 16      3:13 pm Democratic Leadership Collapse; Republican
[More…]