No NC Congressional Seat Targeted by Democratic Congressional Campaign’s $44 million Fall TV Buy May 29, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 14 10:13 am Per AP Thurs, May 29, 2014: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has begun reserving “almost $44 million in advertising time” with television stations in 39 fall races. North Carolina Implications: No
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No NC Congressional Seat Targeted by Democratic Congressional Campaign’s $44 million Fall TV Buy
May 29, 2014 Vol. VII, No. 14 10:13 am
Per AP Thurs, May 29, 2014: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has begun reserving “almost $44 million in advertising time” with television stations in 39 fall races.
North Carolina Implications: No North Carolina Congressional race is on the list of the 39 targets. That’s because there are no opportunities for Democrats to pick up a seat in North Carolina in 2014. Following the November elections, North Carolina will have 10 Republicans and 3 Democrats in the delegation to the U.S. House of Representatives.
Per AP: “In all, the campaign committee plans to spend money in 19 districts to defend incumbent Democrats, mostly newcomers, and in 17 districts that are in Republican hands.”
Per AP: “That’s [$44 million] the largest ever from the committee and the biggest so far this election year from a party-run campaign committee.” By booking the time early, the DCCC locks in a lower price and a “discount of up to 35 percent.”
To date, no non-partisan observer has argued that Democrats can net 18 wins in 2014, the number needed to take the US House majority from Republicans (who have 233 seats to 199 seats held by Democrats). There are three vacancies.
Here are the 39 targeted races with cities highlighted:
—$625,000 in Little Rock, Arkansas, broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 for the seat being vacated by Rep. Tim Griffin, a Republican.
—$2.2 million in Phoenix broadcast and cable ads from Sept. 2 to Oct. 6 to help first-term Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, a Democrat.
—$700,000 on Tucson, Arizona, broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 14 to Nov. 4 to help first-term Rep. Ron Barber, a Democrat.
—$1.3 million on Phoenix broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to help first-term Rep. Kyrsten Sinema, a Democrat.
—$1.1 million on Sacramento, California, broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to challenge Rep. Jeff Denham, a second-term Republican.
—$500,000 for Sacramento cable ads from Sept. 9 to Oct. 20, and $1.2 million for Sacramento broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to help first-term Rep. Ami Bera, a Democrat.
—$150,000 on Bakersfield, California, Spanish-language broadcast and cable ads from Sept. 2-22, $200,000 for Bakersfield, California, broadcast ads from Sept. 9-22, $400,000 for Fresno, California, broadcast ads from Sept. 9-22, and $250,000 in Fresno Spanish-language broadcast and cable ads to challenge first-term Rep. David Valadao, a Republican.
—$950,000 on Los Angeles cable ads from Sept. 23 to Nov. 4 to help first-term Rep. Julia Brownley, a Democrat.
—$625,000 on Los Angeles cable ads from Sept. 23 to Nov. 4 for the seat being vacated by Rep. Gary Miller, a Republican.
—$1.4 million on San Diego broadcast and cable ads from Sept. 19 to Oct. 13 to help first-term Rep. Scott Peters, a Democrat.
—$1.4 million on Denver broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to challenge Rep. Mike Coffman, a Republican.
—$90,000 on New York City cable ads from Sept. 23 to Nov. 4, and $670,000 on Hartford, Connecticut, broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 24 to Nov. 4 to help first-term Rep. Elizabeth Esty, a Connecticut Democrat.
—$400,000 on Tallahassee, Florida, broadcast and cable ads from Sept. 30 to Oct. 20, and $385,000 on Panama City, Florida, broadcast and cable ads to challenge Rep. Steve Southerland, a second-term Republican.
—$970,000 on Miami Spanish-language broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to help first-term Rep. Joe Garcia, a Democrat.
—$490,000 on Augusta, Georgia, broadcast and cable ads from Sept. 2 to Oct. 6, and $670,000 on Savannah, Georgia, broadcast ads from Sept. 9 to Oct. 6 to help Rep. John Barrow, a Democrat.
—$1.3 million on Des Moines, Iowa, broadcast ads from Sept. 5 to Oct. 20 for the seat being vacated by Rep. Tom Latham, a Republican.
—$440,000 on Des Moines, Iowa, broadcast ads and $230,000 for Sioux City, Iowa, broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to challenge Rep. Steve King, a Republican.
—$800,000 for Chicago broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 21-27 to help first-term Rep. Brad Schneider, a Democrat.
—$940,000 for St. Louis broadcast ads from Sept. 12-29, and $940,000 on St. Louis broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to help first-term Rep. Bill Enyart, an Illinois Democrat.
—$670,000 for Champaign, Illinois, broadcast and cable ads from Sept. 30 to Oct. 20, and $940,000 for St. Louis broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to challenge first-term Rep. Rodney Davis, an Illinois Republican.
—$460,000 on Boston-Manchester, New Hampshire, cable ads from Oct. 7 to Nov. 4, and $965,000 on Boston-Manchester broadcast ads from Oct. 28 to Nov. 4 to help Rep. John Tierney, a Democrat.
—$450,000 on Traverse City, Michigan, broadcast ads from Sept. 2-22, and $490,000 on Traverse City broadcast ads from Oct. 14 to Nov. 4 to challenge Rep. Dan Benishek, a Republican.
—$290,000 for Lansing, Michigan, broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to challenge Rep. Tim Walberg, a Republican, and in the race to replace retiring Rep. Mike Rogers, a Republican.
—$850,000 for Detroit broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to challenge Walberg and first-term Rep. Kerry Bentivolio, a Republican.
—$1.5 million on Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota, broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 14 to Nov. 4 to help Rep. Collin Peterson, a Democrat.
—$1.1 million on Minneapolis-St. Paul broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 7-20 to help Rep. Rick Nolan, a Democrat.
—$650,000 on Manchester, New Hampshire, broadcast ads, $1.7 million on Boston-Manchester broadcast ads and $200,000 on Boston-Manchester cable ads from Oct. 7-20 to help Democratic Reps. Carol Shea-Porter and Ann McLane Kuster.
—$650,000 on Philadelphia cable ads and $640,000 on New York City cable ads from Aug. 12 to Nov. 4 for the seat being vacated by Rep. Jon Runyan, a Republican.
—$1.4 million on New York City cable ads from Sept. 9 to Oct. 20 to help Rep. Tim Bishop, a Democrat.
—$950,000 on New York City cable ads from Aug. 12 to Oct. 13 to challenge Rep. Michael Grimm, a Republican.
—$480,000 on Albany, New York, broadcast and cable ads, $200,000 on Burlington, Vermont, and Plattsburgh, New York, broadcast ads and $140,000 for Watertown broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 in the race for the seat being vacated by Rep. Bill Owens, a New York Republican.
—$300,000 on Buffalo, New York, broadcast ads and $165,000 on Elmira, New York, broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 against Rep. Tom Reed, a Republican.
—$1.9 million on Philadelphia broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 in the race for the seat being vacated by Rep. Jim Gerlach, a Republican, and against Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick, a Republican.
—$940,000 on San Antonio broadcast ads from Sept. 23 to Oct. 13 to help first-term Rep. Pete Gallego, a Democrat.
—$2.8 million on Washington, D.C., broadcast and cable ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 in the race for the seat being vacated by Rep. Frank Wolf, a Republican from Northern Virginia.
—$300,000 on Bluefield-Beckley, West Virginia, broadcast ads from Sept. 2-22, $200,000 on Bluefield-Beckley broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4, $435,000 on Charleston-Huntington, West Virginia, broadcast ads from Sept. 2-22, $290,000 on Charleston-Huntington broadcast ads from Oct. 21 to Nov. 4 to help Rep. Nick Rahall, a Democrat.
North Carolina Congressman Mike McIntyre, a Robeson County Democrat who has served the 7th Congressional district for 9 terms, was the last Democrat standing in a Republican-friendly district. He retired because he knew he could not win.
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John N. Davis, Editor
